Nacional vs Sp Braga prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Full timeNacional 1–0 Sp BragaResult 1
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
NacionalDrawSp Braga
Model 2 ✗
20%22%57%
Market 2 ✗
14%21%64%
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Braga to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Nacional 20% at home, a draw 22% and Sp Braga 57%, so its call is 2: Sp Braga to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 14% / 21% / 64%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Nacional and 1.8 for Sp Braga; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Expected goals0.9 – 1.8
Most likely score0-1
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score50%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Nacional
Attack 17th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
LLLLL
- L 2-3 at Rio Ave 2026-10-11
- L 0-4 v Famalicao 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 v Alverca 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Sp Lisbon 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 v Estrela 2026-08-30
Sp Braga
Attack 4th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
LLDWL
- L 1-2 v Gil Vicente 2026-10-19
- L 1-3 v Sp Lisbon 2026-10-09
- D 0-0 at Santa Clara 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Estoril 2026-09-14
- L 1-2 at Estrela 2026-09-10
From 688 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 25 Oct
- Estoril vs Moreirense · FT 1–3
- Rio Ave vs Famalicao · FT 0–4
- Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu · FT 1–2