Estoril vs Moreirense prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
Full timeEstoril 1–3 MoreirenseResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
EstorilDrawMoreirense
Model 1 ✗
48%23%28%
Market 1 ✗
51%26%22%
Brit Predictor's model rates Estoril to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Estoril 48% at home, a draw 23% and Moreirense 28%, so its call is 1: Estoril to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 26% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Estoril and 1.2 for Moreirense; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score56%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Estoril
Attack 6th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
LLLDL
- L 1-2 at Academico Viseu 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 v Casa Pia 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 at Sp Braga 2026-09-14
- D 0-0 v Arouca 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 at Benfica 2026-08-31
Moreirense
Attack 14th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
LDWLL
- L 0-1 v Gil Vicente 2026-10-09
- D 1-1 at Guimaraes 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Maritimo 2026-09-14
- L 0-4 v Benfica 2026-09-09
- L 1-2 at Porto 2026-09-04
From 688 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 25 Oct
- Nacional vs Sp Braga · FT 1–0
- Rio Ave vs Famalicao · FT 0–4
- Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu · FT 1–2