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Holstein Kiel vs Dresden prediction

Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeHolstein Kiel 3–0 DresdenResult 1

Who wins?

Holstein KielDrawDresden
Model 12 ✓
41%27%33%
Market 12 ✓
42%25%33%

Brit Predictor's model rates Holstein Kiel to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Holstein Kiel 41% at home, a draw 27% and Dresden 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 25% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Holstein Kiel and 1.3 for Dresden; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Holstein Kiel

Attack 16th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.

DLDLD
  • D 0-0 v Hertha 2026-10-16
  • L 0-1 at Braunschweig 2026-10-09
  • D 1-1 v Osnabruck 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Heidenheim 2026-09-13
  • D 2-2 v Nurnberg 2026-09-05

Dresden

Attack 7th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.

WDLDL
  • W 2-0 v Magdeburg 2026-10-18
  • D 1-1 at Osnabruck 2026-10-10
  • L 1-2 v Hertha 2026-09-19
  • D 2-2 at Braunschweig 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 v Bochum 2026-09-05

From 690 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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