Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Full timeBarcelona 1–2 Real MadridResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
Model 1 ✗
59%20%21%
Market 1 ✗
61%16%23%
Brit Predictor's model rates Barcelona to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Barcelona 59% at home, a draw 20% and Real Madrid 21%, so its call is 1: Barcelona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 16% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Barcelona and 1.3 for Real Madrid; the single most likely score is 2-1.
Expected goals2.3 – 1.3
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams score67%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Barcelona
Attack 1st of 20, defence 3rd of 20 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 5-2 at Betis 2026-10-17
- W 3-0 v Getafe 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 at Sevilla 2026-09-19
- W 7-2 v Santander 2026-09-16
- W 4-2 at Levante 2026-09-13
Real Madrid
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
WWLWW
- W 4-1 v Sevilla 2026-10-18
- W 1-0 v Villarreal 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Ath Madrid 2026-09-20
- W 3-2 at Elche 2026-09-15
- W 4-1 v Vallecano 2026-09-12
From 854 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 25 Oct
- Ath Bilbao vs Getafe · FT 4–0
- Celta vs Betis · FT 0–0
- Sociedad vs Levante · FT 2–1