Brit Predictor

Ath Bilbao vs Getafe prediction

Spain La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 WAT

Full timeAth Bilbao 4–0 GetafeResult 1

Who wins?

Ath BilbaoDrawGetafe
Model 1X ✓
45%35%21%
Market 1 ✓
63%23%14%

Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Bilbao to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Ath Bilbao 45% at home, a draw 35% and Getafe 21%, so its call is 1X: Ath Bilbao to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 23% / 14%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ath Bilbao and 0.6 for Getafe; the single most likely score is 0-0.

Expected goals1.0 – 0.6
Most likely score0-0
Over 2.5 goals22%
Both teams score29%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Ath Bilbao

Attack 13th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.

LDDDW
  • L 1-3 at Levante 2026-10-21
  • D 0-0 at Valencia 2026-10-17
  • D 0-0 v Alaves 2026-09-19
  • D 1-1 v Elche 2026-09-12
  • W 3-0 v Ath Madrid 2026-09-05

Getafe

Attack 19th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.

DLWLD
  • D 1-1 v Vallecano 2026-10-19
  • L 0-3 at Barcelona 2026-10-10
  • W 1-0 v Malaga 2026-09-20
  • L 0-1 at Betis 2026-09-17
  • D 1-1 v La Coruna 2026-09-13

From 854 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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