Napoli vs Roma prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Full timeNapoli 3–3 RomaResult X
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
NapoliDrawRoma
Model 12 ✗
31%30%38%
Market 12 ✗
36%29%35%
Brit Predictor's model rates Roma to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Napoli 31% at home, a draw 30% and Roma 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 29% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Napoli and 1.1 for Roma; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Expected goals1.0 – 1.1
Most likely score0-1
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams score41%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Napoli
Attack 8th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
LWDWL
- L 0-1 at Venezia 2026-10-17
- W 3-0 v Frosinone 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Bologna 2026-09-13
- L 2-3 at Inter 2026-09-05
Roma
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
WDDWW
- W 2-0 v Genoa 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 at Como 2026-10-11
- D 2-2 v Inter 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 at Torino 2026-09-14
- W 2-1 v Atalanta 2026-09-05
From 831 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 24 Oct
- Como vs Sassuolo · FT 2–0
- Cagliari vs Bologna · FT 0–2
- Lazio vs Parma · FT 2–1