Lazio vs Parma prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeLazio 2–1 ParmaResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
LazioDrawParma
Model 1 ✓
57%26%16%
Market 1 ✓
69%20%11%
Brit Predictor's model rates Lazio to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Lazio 57% at home, a draw 26% and Parma 16%, so its call is 1: Lazio to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 20% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lazio and 0.7 for Parma; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.5 – 0.7
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams score37%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lazio
Attack 9th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
WWWDW
- W 3-0 at Juventus 2026-10-18
- W 3-1 v Monza 2026-10-11
- W 2-0 at Venezia 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Milan 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2026-09-07
Parma
Attack 20th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
LLWLD
- L 0-3 v Torino 2026-10-19
- L 0-3 at Inter 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Genoa 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 at Como 2026-09-14
- D 1-1 v Monza 2026-09-06
From 831 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 24 Oct
- Como vs Sassuolo · FT 2–0
- Cagliari vs Bologna · FT 0–2
- Napoli vs Roma · FT 3–3