Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
Full timeEstrela 0–2 Casa PiaResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
EstrelaDrawCasa Pia
Model 1 ✗
50%25%25%
Market 1 ✗
53%25%21%
Brit Predictor's model rates Estrela to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Estrela 50% at home, a draw 25% and Casa Pia 25%, so its call is 1: Estrela to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 25% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Estrela and 1.0 for Casa Pia; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score48%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Estrela
Attack 12th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
LLDWD
- L 0-1 at Arouca 2026-10-11
- L 0-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-09-20
- D 3-3 at Rio Ave 2026-09-14
- W 2-1 v Sp Braga 2026-09-10
- D 2-2 v Famalicao 2026-09-05
Casa Pia
Attack 18th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
LWLDL
- L 0-1 v Santa Clara 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Estoril 2026-09-20
- L 1-4 v Porto 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 at Guimaraes 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 v Moreirense 2026-08-30
From 685 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 24 Oct
- Alverca vs Arouca · FT 0–1
- Gil Vicente vs Porto · FT 0–1