Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction
England League One · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeStevenage 3–0 PlymouthResult 1
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
StevenageDrawPlymouth
Model 12 ✓
35%28%36%
Market 12 ✓
35%27%38%
Brit Predictor's model rates Plymouth to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Stevenage 35% at home, a draw 28% and Plymouth 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stevenage and 1.2 for Plymouth; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score48%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Stevenage
Attack 20th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
LWLWW
- L 0-2 at Bradford 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 v Wigan 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 at Leyton Orient 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Luton 2026-09-10
- W 5-1 at Barnsley 2026-09-05
Plymouth
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
LWWLW
- L 0-2 v Huddersfield 2026-10-17
- W 2-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 at Leyton Orient 2026-10-03
- L 0-1 v Burton 2026-09-26
- W 4-2 at Blackpool 2026-09-19
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Tue 20 Oct
- Luton vs Barnsley · FT 2–1
- AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield · FT 0–3
- Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 2–0
- Bromley vs Leicester · FT 0–4
- Burton vs Bradford · FT 0–0
- Cambridge vs Wycombe · FT 2–2
- Doncaster vs Stockport · FT 0–2
- Huddersfield vs Peterboro · FT 4–1
- Notts County vs Sheffield Weds · FT 2–0
- Oxford vs Wigan · FT 2–1