Burton vs Bradford prediction
England League One · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bradford to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Burton 29% at home, a draw 31% and Bradford 40%, so its call is X2: Bradford to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 20% / 25% / 55%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Burton and 1.1 for Bradford; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burton
Attack 17th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Peterboro 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 at Doncaster 2026-10-10
- L 1-3 v Huddersfield 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 at Plymouth 2026-09-26
- D 2-2 v Mansfield 2026-09-19
Bradford
Attack 16th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Stevenage 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 v Leyton Orient 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Reading 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 at Luton 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at Notts County 2026-09-12
From 1218 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Tue 20 Oct
- Luton vs Barnsley · FT 2–1
- AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield · FT 0–3
- Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 2–0
- Bromley vs Leicester · FT 0–4
- Cambridge vs Wycombe · FT 2–2
- Doncaster vs Stockport · FT 0–2
- Huddersfield vs Peterboro · FT 4–1
- Notts County vs Sheffield Weds · FT 2–0
- Oxford vs Wigan · FT 2–1
- Stevenage vs Plymouth · FT 3–0