PAOK vs Iraklis prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PAOK to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives PAOK 60% at home, a draw 27% and Iraklis 14%, so its call is 1: PAOK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 74% / 17% / 9%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for PAOK and 0.7 for Iraklis; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Iraklis, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
PAOK
Attack 1st of 14, defence 5th of 14 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Kalamata 2026-10-12
- W 3-1 at Panetolikos 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 v Aris 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Panathinaikos 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Atromitos 2026-08-30
Iraklis
Attack 10th of 14, defence 4th of 14 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-10-11
- D 0-0 at Aris 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Atromitos 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Asteras Tripolis 2026-09-07
- D 1-1 at Volos NFC 2026-08-29
From 512 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 18 Oct
- Kalamata vs OFI Crete · FT 4–3
- Panetolikos vs Olympiakos · FT 0–2
- Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis · FT 5–1
- Kifisia vs Aris · FT 1–2