Brit Predictor

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction

Greece Super League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:30 WAT

Full timePanathinaikos 5–1 Asteras TripolisResult 1

Who wins?

PanathinaikosDrawAsteras Tripolis
Model 1 ✓
69%22%
Market 1 ✓
81%13%

Brit Predictor's model rates Panathinaikos to win as the most likely result (69%). It gives Panathinaikos 69% at home, a draw 22% and Asteras Tripolis 9%, so its call is 1: Panathinaikos to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 81% / 13% / 6%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Panathinaikos and 0.6 for Asteras Tripolis; the single most likely score is 2-0.

Expected goals2.0 – 0.6
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score41%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Panathinaikos

Attack 3rd of 14, defence 3rd of 14 in the league.

LWWWW
  • L 0-1 at Olympiakos 2026-10-11
  • W 1-0 at Kalamata 2026-09-20
  • W 3-0 v Panetolikos 2026-09-13
  • W 3-1 v Kifisia 2026-09-10
  • W 3-1 v PAOK 2026-09-06

Asteras Tripolis

Attack 12th of 14, defence 11th of 14 in the league.

WDDLL
  • W 2-1 v Atromitos 2026-10-10
  • D 2-2 at OFI Crete 2026-09-20
  • D 1-1 v AEK 2026-09-13
  • L 0-2 v Iraklis 2026-09-07
  • L 0-1 v Olympiakos 2026-08-30

From 512 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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