Milan vs Atalanta prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Milan to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Milan 39% at home, a draw 28% and Atalanta 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Milan and 1.2 for Atalanta; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Milan
Attack 8th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Sassuolo 2026-10-11
- W 3-0 v Lecce 2026-09-20
- D 2-2 at Lazio 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Juventus 2026-09-06
- W 2-0 v Venezia 2026-08-28
Atalanta
Attack 6th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Venezia 2026-10-12
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Roma 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Bologna 2026-08-31
From 824 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 18 Oct
- Udinese vs Lecce · FT 0–3
- Fiorentina vs Como · FT 1–3
- Juventus vs Lazio · FT 0–3