Fiorentina vs Como prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Full timeFiorentina 1–3 ComoResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
FiorentinaDrawComo
Model 2 ✓
23%25%52%
Market 2 ✓
31%26%43%
Brit Predictor's model rates Como to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Fiorentina 23% at home, a draw 25% and Como 52%, so its call is 2: Como to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 26% / 43%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Fiorentina and 1.6 for Como; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score51%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Fiorentina
Attack 12th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
LDWLL
- L 1-2 at Genoa 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Napoli 2026-09-20
- W 4-2 at Venezia 2026-09-11
- L 1-2 v Torino 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 v Frosinone 2026-08-29
Como
Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
DLWWW
- D 0-0 v Roma 2026-10-11
- L 0-2 at Frosinone 2026-09-20
- W 2-1 v Parma 2026-09-14
- W 4-1 at Genoa 2026-09-04
- W 2-1 at Napoli 2026-08-30
From 824 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 18 Oct
- Udinese vs Lecce · FT 0–3
- Milan vs Atalanta · FT 3–2
- Juventus vs Lazio · FT 0–3