Ceuta vs Oviedo prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Ceuta 26% at home, a draw 26% and Oviedo 49%, so its call is 2: Oviedo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ceuta and 1.5 for Oviedo; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ceuta
Attack 17th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Sabadell 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Castellon 2026-10-04
- W 3-1 v Sociedad B 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-09-20
- L 1-3 at Burgos 2026-09-11
Oviedo
Attack 11th of 22, defence 5th of 22 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Eibar 2026-10-12
- L 1-4 at Eldense 2026-10-02
- W 2-0 v Sp Gijon 2026-09-27
- L 1-3 at Sabadell 2026-09-20
- W 3-0 at Valladolid 2026-09-13
From 1028 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 18 Oct
- Granada vs Cadiz · FT 2–0
- Girona vs Andorra · FT 2–0
- Valladolid vs Eldense · FT 2–3
- Burgos vs Sabadell · FT 1–0