Burgos vs Sabadell prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 18 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (39%). It gives Burgos 29% at home, a draw 39% and Sabadell 32%, so its call is X2: Sabadell to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 34% / 35%, a call of X2. Expected goals are 0.6 for Burgos and 0.7 for Sabadell; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Sabadell, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burgos
Attack 20th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Granada 2026-10-12
- L 1-2 at Almeria 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-09-27
- W 2-1 at Las Palmas 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Ceuta 2026-09-11
Sabadell
Attack 16th of 22, defence 2nd of 22 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Ceuta 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 v Andorra 2026-10-04
- D 1-1 at Celta B 2026-09-26
- W 3-1 v Oviedo 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 at Mallorca 2026-09-13
From 1028 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 18 Oct
- Ceuta vs Oviedo · FT 1–2
- Granada vs Cadiz · FT 2–0
- Girona vs Andorra · FT 2–0
- Valladolid vs Eldense · FT 2–3