Venezia vs Napoli prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Napoli to win as the most likely result (71%). It gives Venezia 10% at home, a draw 19% and Napoli 71%, so its call is 2: Napoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 25% / 54%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.6 for Venezia and 2.1 for Napoli; the single most likely score is 0-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Venezia, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Venezia
Attack 18th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Atalanta 2026-10-12
- L 0-2 v Lazio 2026-09-19
- L 2-4 v Fiorentina 2026-09-11
- L 2-3 at Frosinone 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Milan 2026-08-28
Napoli
Attack 6th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Frosinone 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Bologna 2026-09-13
- L 2-3 at Inter 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 v Como 2026-08-30
From 821 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 17 Oct
- Bologna vs Inter · FT 1–3
- Roma vs Genoa · FT 2–0