Roma vs Genoa prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 17 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeRoma 2–0 GenoaResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
RomaDrawGenoa
Model 1 ✓
67%21%11%
Market 1 ✓
61%24%15%
Brit Predictor's model rates Roma to win as the most likely result (67%). It gives Roma 67% at home, a draw 21% and Genoa 11%, so its call is 1: Roma to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 24% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Roma and 0.6 for Genoa; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score40%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Roma
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
DDWWW
- D 0-0 at Como 2026-10-11
- D 2-2 v Inter 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 at Torino 2026-09-14
- W 2-1 v Atalanta 2026-09-05
- W 4-0 at Lecce 2026-08-31
Genoa
Attack 16th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
WLDLL
- W 2-1 v Fiorentina 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Parma 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 v Frosinone 2026-09-12
- L 1-4 v Como 2026-09-04
- L 0-1 at Lazio 2026-08-30
From 821 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 17 Oct
- Venezia vs Napoli · FT 1–0
- Bologna vs Inter · FT 1–3