Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rvs prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stenhousemuir to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Stenhousemuir 61% at home, a draw 31% and Raith Rvs 9%, so its call is 1: Stenhousemuir to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 27% / 30% / 43%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stenhousemuir and 0.4 for Raith Rvs; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Stenhousemuir, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Stenhousemuir
Attack 3rd of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Ayr 2026-09-25
- W 1-0 v Arbroath 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Partick 2026-09-15
- W 1-0 at Livingston 2026-09-04
Raith Rvs
Attack 4th of 10, defence 5th of 10 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Morton 2026-10-03
- L 0-2 v Livingston 2026-09-25
- D 0-0 at Partick 2026-09-19
- W 4-0 v Arbroath 2026-09-12
From 409 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 17 Oct
- Dunfermline vs Livingston · FT 0–0
- Inverness C vs Arbroath · FT 2–0
- Morton vs Queens Park · FT 2–0