Dunfermline vs Livingston prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Livingston to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Dunfermline 28% at home, a draw 34% and Livingston 37%, so its call is X2: Livingston to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 27% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dunfermline and 1.2 for Livingston; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Livingston, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Dunfermline
Attack 7th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Ayr 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Morton 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Arbroath 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Raith Rvs 2026-08-28
Livingston
Attack 2nd of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Partick 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 v Ayr 2026-10-03
- W 2-0 at Raith Rvs 2026-09-25
- D 2-2 v Inverness C 2026-09-19
- W 4-1 at Morton 2026-09-11
From 409 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 17 Oct
- Inverness C vs Arbroath · FT 2–0
- Morton vs Queens Park · FT 2–0
- Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rvs · FT 1–1