Las Palmas vs Castellon prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 17 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Las Palmas to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Las Palmas 40% at home, a draw 25% and Castellon 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 25% / 50%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Las Palmas and 1.3 for Castellon; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Las Palmas
Attack 7th of 22, defence 8th of 22 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Mallorca 2026-10-11
- D 2-2 v Valladolid 2026-10-04
- L 2-3 at Eibar 2026-09-27
- L 1-2 v Burgos 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Cadiz 2026-09-12
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Andorra 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 v Ceuta 2026-10-04
- W 2-0 at Leganes 2026-09-28
- W 5-0 v Tenerife 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Girona 2026-09-12
From 1024 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 17 Oct
- Sociedad B vs Almeria · FT 2–4
- Eibar vs Mallorca · FT 1–1
- Sp Gijon vs Albacete · FT 2–1