Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeKilmarnock 3–2 MotherwellResult 1
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
Model 2 ✗
30%24%46%
Market 12 ✓
33%25%41%
Brit Predictor's model rates Motherwell to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Kilmarnock 30% at home, a draw 24% and Motherwell 46%, so its call is 2: Motherwell to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 25% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kilmarnock and 1.6 for Motherwell; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score57%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Kilmarnock
Attack 8th of 12, defence 12th of 12 in the league.
LDWDL
- L 1-3 at Rangers 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Hearts 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at Hibernian 2026-09-15
- D 0-0 at Aberdeen 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v St Mirren 2026-09-02
Motherwell
Attack 5th of 12, defence 5th of 12 in the league.
LLLLW
- L 0-2 v Celtic 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Dundee 2026-09-19
- L 0-4 v Aberdeen 2026-09-15
- L 0-1 at Rangers 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Dundee United 2026-09-02
From 504 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 17 Oct
- St Johnstone vs Dundee United · FT 1–1
- Aberdeen vs St Mirren · FT 3–1
- Hibernian vs Falkirk · FT 1–2
- Dundee vs Rangers · FT 2–2