Aberdeen vs St Mirren prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeAberdeen 3–1 St MirrenResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
Model 1 ✓
46%28%26%
Market 1 ✓
56%24%21%
Brit Predictor's model rates Aberdeen to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Aberdeen 46% at home, a draw 28% and St Mirren 26%, so its call is 1: Aberdeen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 24% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Aberdeen and 0.9 for St Mirren; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score42%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Aberdeen
Attack 11th of 12, defence 6th of 12 in the league.
LDWDL
- L 0-1 v St Johnstone 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 at Hibernian 2026-09-19
- W 4-0 at Motherwell 2026-09-15
- D 0-0 v Kilmarnock 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Celtic 2026-09-02
St Mirren
Attack 12th of 12, defence 7th of 12 in the league.
LLLLW
- L 0-5 at Hearts 2026-10-10
- L 0-3 v Dundee United 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Rangers 2026-09-09
- L 1-2 v Celtic 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 at Kilmarnock 2026-09-02
From 504 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 17 Oct
- St Johnstone vs Dundee United · FT 1–1
- Kilmarnock vs Motherwell · FT 3–2
- Hibernian vs Falkirk · FT 1–2
- Dundee vs Rangers · FT 2–2