Everton vs Chelsea prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Full timeEverton 0–2 ChelseaResult 2
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
EvertonDrawChelsea
Model 12 ✓
35%29%36%
Market 12 ✓
33%26%41%
Brit Predictor's model rates Chelsea to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Everton 35% at home, a draw 29% and Chelsea 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 26% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Everton and 1.3 for Chelsea; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score55%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Everton
Attack 17th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
DWDDD
- D 2-2 at Hull 2026-10-11
- W 1-0 v Ipswich 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Tottenham 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Man United 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-08-29
Chelsea
Attack 5th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
WLDLW
- W 5-1 v Bournemouth 2026-10-10
- L 0-3 at Brentford 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 v Hull 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Arsenal 2026-09-06
- W 4-3 v Brighton 2026-08-30
From 820 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 17 Oct
- Brentford vs Liverpool · FT 1–2
- Fulham vs Hull · FT 1–0
- Man City vs Ipswich · FT 3–2
- Newcastle vs Aston Villa · FT 0–1