Norwich vs Southampton prediction
England Championship · Wednesday 14 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Norwich 32% at home, a draw 23% and Southampton 45%, so its call is 2: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 25% / 33%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Norwich and 1.9 for Southampton; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Norwich
Attack 5th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Swansea 2026-10-10
- L 3-4 v Bolton 2026-09-20
- L 3-4 at Middlesbrough 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Birmingham 2026-09-09
- W 3-1 at Sheffield United 2026-09-05
Southampton
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Portsmouth 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Wrexham 2026-09-19
- W 4-1 v Bristol City 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Swansea 2026-09-08
- D 1-1 at Lincoln 2026-09-05
From 1219 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Wed 14 Oct
- Portsmouth vs Sheffield United · FT 3–2
- QPR vs Derby · FT 4–1
- Lincoln vs West Ham · FT 0–6