Brit Predictor

Standard vs Charleroi prediction

Belgium Pro League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeStandard 0–1 CharleroiResult 2

Who wins?

StandardDrawCharleroi
Model 12 ✓
33%31%36%
Market 12 ✓
34%27%39%

Brit Predictor's model rates Charleroi to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Standard 33% at home, a draw 31% and Charleroi 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Standard and 1.1 for Charleroi; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.0 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams score44%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Standard

Attack 14th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.

LLWWW
  • L 1-2 at Gent 2026-09-18
  • L 2-4 at Westerlo 2026-09-12
  • W 1-0 v Antwerp 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 at Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-08-29
  • W 2-0 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-08-21

Charleroi

Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.

WWLWW
  • W 3-2 v Cercle Brugge 2026-09-19
  • W 1-0 at Waregem 2026-09-13
  • L 2-3 v St. Gilloise 2026-09-05
  • W 3-1 at Kortrijk 2026-08-29
  • W 2-0 v Mechelen 2026-08-22

From 691 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.

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