Mechelen vs St Truiden prediction
Belgium Pro League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:15 WAT
Full timeMechelen 4–3 St TruidenResult 1
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
MechelenDrawSt Truiden
Model 12 ✓
33%26%41%
Market 12 ✓
32%27%42%
Brit Predictor's model rates St Truiden to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Mechelen 33% at home, a draw 26% and St Truiden 41%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 27% / 42%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mechelen and 1.6 for St Truiden; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score60%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Mechelen
Attack 11th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
DLLDL
- D 0-0 at Lommel SK 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Anderlecht 2026-09-11
- L 0-4 v Westerlo 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 at RAAL La Louviere 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Charleroi 2026-08-22
St Truiden
Attack 5th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
LLWLW
- L 0-2 v Westerlo 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 at Beveren 2026-09-12
- W 4-0 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 v St. Gilloise 2026-09-02
- W 4-1 at Antwerp 2026-08-30
From 691 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sun 11 Oct
- Standard vs Charleroi · FT 0–1
- St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven · FT 1–1
- Westerlo vs Antwerp · FT 5–1