Sociedad vs La Coruna prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sociedad to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Sociedad 43% at home, a draw 25% and La Coruna 32%, so its call is 1: Sociedad to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 24% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sociedad and 1.3 for La Coruna; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on La Coruna, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sociedad
Attack 7th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Valencia 2026-09-20
- L 0-3 v Ath Madrid 2026-09-13
- W 3-2 at Elche 2026-09-07
- D 0-0 v Celta 2026-09-03
- W 2-1 v Espanol 2026-08-29
La Coruna
Attack 10th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Betis 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Sevilla 2026-09-16
- D 1-1 at Getafe 2026-09-13
- W 3-2 at Villarreal 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 v Valencia 2026-08-30
From 833 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 11 Oct
- Elche vs Celta · FT 0–0
- Betis vs Osasuna · FT 5–2
- Santander vs Valencia · FT 2–2