Santander vs Valencia prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Santander to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Santander 42% at home, a draw 21% and Valencia 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 27% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 2.1 for Santander and 1.9 for Valencia; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Santander, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Santander
Attack 5th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-5 at Celta 2026-09-19
- L 2-7 at Barcelona 2026-09-16
- W 2-1 v Alaves 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 at Vallecano 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 v Elche 2026-08-28
Valencia
Attack 18th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Sociedad 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Alaves 2026-09-15
- L 0-1 at Sevilla 2026-09-11
- L 0-5 v Barcelona 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 at La Coruna 2026-08-30
From 833 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 11 Oct
- Elche vs Celta · FT 0–0
- Sociedad vs La Coruna · FT 3–2
- Betis vs Osasuna · FT 5–2