Motherwell vs Celtic prediction
Scotland Premiership · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Celtic to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Motherwell 24% at home, a draw 24% and Celtic 52%, so its call is 2: Celtic to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 17% / 19% / 64%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Motherwell and 1.7 for Celtic; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Motherwell
Attack 5th of 12, defence 5th of 12 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Dundee 2026-09-19
- L 0-4 v Aberdeen 2026-09-15
- L 0-1 at Rangers 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Dundee United 2026-09-02
- D 3-3 at St Mirren 2026-08-30
Celtic
Attack 1st of 12, defence 1st of 12 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Rangers 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at St Johnstone 2026-09-09
- W 2-1 at St Mirren 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Aberdeen 2026-09-02
- W 2-1 v Falkirk 2026-08-29
From 502 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sun 11 Oct
- Aberdeen vs St Johnstone · FT 0–1