Brit Predictor

Aberdeen vs St Johnstone prediction

Scotland Premiership · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeAberdeen 0–1 St JohnstoneResult 2

Who wins?

AberdeenDrawSt Johnstone
Model 1 ✗
48%27%26%
Market 1 ✗
49%26%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Aberdeen to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Aberdeen 48% at home, a draw 27% and St Johnstone 26%, so its call is 1: Aberdeen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Aberdeen and 1.0 for St Johnstone; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on St Johnstone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score47%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Aberdeen

Attack 10th of 12, defence 6th of 12 in the league.

DWDLL
  • D 1-1 at Hibernian 2026-09-19
  • W 4-0 at Motherwell 2026-09-15
  • D 0-0 v Kilmarnock 2026-09-05
  • L 0-3 at Celtic 2026-09-02
  • L 0-1 v Rangers 2026-08-30

St Johnstone

Attack 11th of 12, defence 10th of 12 in the league.

DLWDL
  • D 1-1 v Falkirk 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 v Celtic 2026-09-09
  • W 2-1 v Hibernian 2026-09-06
  • D 1-1 at Dundee 2026-09-02
  • L 1-2 at Hearts 2026-08-29

From 502 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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