Liverpool vs Man City prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Full timeLiverpool 0–3 Man CityResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
LiverpoolDrawMan City
Model 2 ✓
31%26%42%
Market 2 ✓
28%25%47%
Brit Predictor's model rates Man City to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Liverpool 31% at home, a draw 26% and Man City 42%, so its call is 2: Man City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 25% / 47%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Liverpool and 1.6 for Man City; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score62%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Liverpool
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
WDWDD
- W 1-0 at Bournemouth 2026-09-20
- D 0-0 v Fulham 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Ipswich 2026-09-04
- D 2-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Newcastle 2026-08-23
Man City
Attack 1st of 20, defence 3rd of 20 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 5-3 v Sunderland 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Man United 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 v Coventry 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 at Crystal Palace 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 v Bournemouth 2026-08-23
From 816 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 11 Oct
- Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest · FT 3–1
- Hull vs Everton · FT 2–2