Hull vs Everton prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hull to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Hull 44% at home, a draw 35% and Everton 21%, so its call is 1X: Hull to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 28% / 49%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hull and 0.7 for Everton; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Hull, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hull
Attack 16th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Newcastle 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 at Chelsea 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Aston Villa 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 at Coventry 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Man United 2026-08-22
Everton
Attack 17th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Ipswich 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Tottenham 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Man United 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-08-22
From 816 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 11 Oct
- Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest · FT 3–1
- Liverpool vs Man City · FT 0–3