FC Koln vs M'gladbach prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Full timeFC Koln 2–1 M'gladbachResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
FC KolnDrawM'gladbach
Model 1 ✓
44%24%32%
Market 1 ✓
50%24%26%
Brit Predictor's model rates FC Koln to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives FC Koln 44% at home, a draw 24% and M'gladbach 32%, so its call is 1: FC Koln to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 24% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Koln and 1.5 for M'gladbach; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.8 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score65%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
FC Koln
Attack 11th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
LDLWL
- L 1-2 at Hamburg 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Werder Bremen 2026-09-12
- L 1-4 at Stuttgart 2026-09-04
- W 3-2 v Hoffenheim 2026-08-29
- L 1-5 at Bayern Munich 2026-05-16
M'gladbach
Attack 13th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
LLLLW
- L 3-4 v Mainz 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 at Freiburg 2026-09-12
- L 3-4 v Elversberg 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at RB Leipzig 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Hoffenheim 2026-05-16
From 655 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sun 11 Oct
- Freiburg vs Schalke 04 · FT 2–1