Benfica vs Guimaraes prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Full timeBenfica 2–0 GuimaraesResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
BenficaDrawGuimaraes
Model 1 ✓
78%14%
Market 1 ✓
81%12%
Brit Predictor's model rates Benfica to win as the most likely result (78%). It gives Benfica 78% at home, a draw 14% and Guimaraes 8%, so its call is 1: Benfica to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 81% / 12% / 7%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.6 for Benfica and 0.7 for Guimaraes; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.6 – 0.7
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score45%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Benfica
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
LWWWW
- L 1-3 at Porto 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Gil Vicente 2026-09-13
- W 4-0 at Moreirense 2026-09-09
- W 3-0 at Maritimo 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Estoril 2026-08-31
Guimaraes
Attack 12th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
DLDLW
- D 1-1 v Moreirense 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 at Academico Viseu 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Casa Pia 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 at Sp Braga 2026-08-31
- W 1-0 v Nacional 2026-08-23
From 679 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 11 Oct
- Rio Ave vs Nacional · FT 3–2
- Arouca vs Estrela · FT 1–0