Brit Predictor

Hornchurch vs Eastleigh prediction

England National League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeHornchurch 2–0 EastleighResult 1

Who wins?

HornchurchDrawEastleigh
Model 1 ✓
43%27%30%
Market 1 ✓
42%26%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Hornchurch to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Hornchurch 43% at home, a draw 27% and Eastleigh 30%, so its call is 1: Hornchurch to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hornchurch and 1.1 for Eastleigh; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score50%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Hornchurch

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.

LWLWL
  • L 0-3 at Harrogate 2026-10-03
  • W 2-1 v Aldershot 2026-09-29
  • L 0-3 at Altrincham 2026-09-26
  • W 1-0 v Scunthorpe 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Worthing 2026-09-15

Eastleigh

Attack 19th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

LDLWL
  • L 1-3 v Woking 2026-10-03
  • D 1-1 v Southend 2026-09-30
  • L 1-4 at Harrogate 2026-09-26
  • W 1-0 v Carlisle 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 at Sutton 2026-09-15

From 1248 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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