Carlisle vs Kidderminster prediction
England National League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Carlisle 48% at home, a draw 27% and Kidderminster 25%, so its call is 1: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 20% / 14%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Carlisle and 1.0 for Kidderminster; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Kidderminster, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Carlisle
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Aldershot 2026-10-03
- W 2-0 at Fylde 2026-09-29
- L 2-5 v Woking 2026-09-26
- L 0-1 at Eastleigh 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Forest Green 2026-09-15
Kidderminster
Attack 21st of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Sutton 2026-10-03
- L 1-3 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-29
- L 0-1 v Yeovil 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 at Woking 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Gateshead 2026-09-16
From 1248 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 10 Oct
- Altrincham vs Aldershot · FT 3–1
- Worthing vs Solihull · FT 5–0
- Woking vs Harrogate · FT 0–1
- Wealdstone vs Yeovil · FT 0–6
- Tamworth vs Barrow · FT 1–2
- Fylde vs Scunthorpe · FT 2–0
- Boston Utd vs Southend · FT 1–2
- Hornchurch vs Eastleigh · FT 2–0
- Halifax vs Gateshead · FT 4–1
- Forest Green vs Hartlepool · FT 2–4