Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 WAT
Full timeFeyenoord 2–0 AZ AlkmaarResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
FeyenoordDrawAZ Alkmaar
Model 1 ✓
54%23%22%
Market 1 ✓
56%22%22%
Brit Predictor's model rates Feyenoord to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Feyenoord 54% at home, a draw 23% and AZ Alkmaar 22%, so its call is 1: Feyenoord to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 22% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Feyenoord and 1.2 for AZ Alkmaar; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score63%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Feyenoord
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
WWWDW
- W 5-0 v Utrecht 2026-09-20
- W 7-0 at Zwolle 2026-09-13
- W 3-1 at Nijmegen 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 v Den Haag 2026-08-30
- W 5-2 at Cambuur 2026-08-23
AZ Alkmaar
Attack 5th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
WDWWW
- W 1-0 v Telstar 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 v Willem II 2026-09-11
- W 3-2 at Heerenveen 2026-09-06
- W 5-2 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at For Sittard 2026-08-22
From 676 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 10 Oct
- Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam · FT 3–3
- For Sittard vs Twente · FT 1–1
- Ajax vs Nijmegen · FT 1–1