Brit Predictor

Benevento vs Cesena prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeBenevento 2–0 CesenaResult 1

Who wins?

BeneventoDrawCesena
Model 1 ✓
54%28%18%
Market 1 ✓
50%26%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Benevento to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Benevento 54% at home, a draw 28% and Cesena 18%, so its call is 1: Benevento to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Benevento and 0.8 for Cesena; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Benevento, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score44%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Benevento

Attack 12th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.

WWLDL
  • W 1-0 at Carrarese 2026-09-19
  • W 3-1 v Verona 2026-09-11
  • L 0-1 at Ascoli 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Sudtirol 2026-08-30
  • L 1-2 v Modena 2026-08-22

Cesena

Attack 13th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.

DDDWD
  • D 1-1 at Juve Stabia 2026-09-18
  • D 2-2 v Cremonese 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 v Mantova 2026-09-06
  • W 2-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-08-29
  • D 1-1 v Sampdoria 2026-08-23

From 811 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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