Ayr vs Dunfermline prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ayr to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Ayr 36% at home, a draw 35% and Dunfermline 30%, so its call is 1X: Ayr to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 28% / 43%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ayr and 1.0 for Dunfermline; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ayr
Attack 6th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Livingston 2026-10-03
- L 0-1 v Stenhousemuir 2026-09-25
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-09-18
- L 1-3 v Inverness C 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Partick 2026-09-05
Dunfermline
Attack 7th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Morton 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Arbroath 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Raith Rvs 2026-08-28
- L 0-2 at Livingston 2026-08-22
From 402 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 10 Oct
- Arbroath vs Morton · FT 1–2
- Inverness C vs Stenhousemuir · FT 2–0
- Livingston vs Partick · FT 1–2
- Raith Rvs vs Queens Park · FT 2–0