Brit Predictor

Arbroath vs Morton prediction

Scotland Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeArbroath 1–2 MortonResult 2

Who wins?

ArbroathDrawMorton
Model 1 ✗
49%31%20%
Market 1 ✗
50%28%22%

Brit Predictor's model rates Arbroath to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Arbroath 49% at home, a draw 31% and Morton 20%, so its call is 1: Arbroath to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 28% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Arbroath and 0.9 for Morton; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Arbroath

Attack 8th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.

LWLLD
  • L 0-3 at Partick 2026-10-03
  • W 2-1 v Queens Park 2026-09-25
  • L 0-1 at Stenhousemuir 2026-09-19
  • L 0-4 at Raith Rvs 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 v Dunfermline 2026-09-05

Morton

Attack 9th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.

LLLLL
  • L 1-2 v Raith Rvs 2026-10-03
  • L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-09-25
  • L 0-1 v Dunfermline 2026-09-19
  • L 1-4 v Livingston 2026-09-11
  • L 1-2 at Queens Park 2026-09-05

From 402 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 10 Oct

More Scotland Championship games on Sat 10 Oct