Alaves vs Ath Madrid prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Full timeAlaves 1–2 Ath MadridResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
AlavesDrawAth Madrid
Model 2 ✓
27%26%46%
Market 2 ✓
21%26%54%
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Madrid to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Alaves 27% at home, a draw 26% and Ath Madrid 46%, so its call is 2: Ath Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 21% / 26% / 54%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Alaves and 1.5 for Ath Madrid; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score51%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Alaves
Attack 14th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
DLLWW
- D 0-0 at Ath Bilbao 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Valencia 2026-09-15
- L 1-2 at Santander 2026-09-12
- W 5-2 v Osasuna 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 v Villarreal 2026-08-28
Ath Madrid
Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
WWWLW
- W 2-1 v Real Madrid 2026-09-20
- W 4-0 v Osasuna 2026-09-16
- W 3-0 at Sociedad 2026-09-13
- L 0-3 at Ath Bilbao 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 at Sevilla 2026-08-29
From 830 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Barcelona vs Getafe · FT 3–0
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal · FT 1–0