Brit Predictor

Morton vs Raith Rvs prediction

Scotland Championship · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeMorton 1–2 Raith RvsResult 2

Who wins?

MortonDrawRaith Rvs
Model 2 ✓
24%31%45%
Market 2 ✓
16%23%61%

Brit Predictor's model rates Raith Rvs to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Morton 24% at home, a draw 31% and Raith Rvs 45%, so its call is 2: Raith Rvs to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 16% / 23% / 61%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Morton and 1.5 for Raith Rvs; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score52%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Morton

Attack 9th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.

LLLLD
  • L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-09-25
  • L 0-1 v Dunfermline 2026-09-19
  • L 1-4 v Livingston 2026-09-11
  • L 1-2 at Queens Park 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 at Ayr 2026-08-29

Raith Rvs

Attack 4th of 10, defence 5th of 10 in the league.

LDWWL
  • L 0-2 v Livingston 2026-09-25
  • D 0-0 at Partick 2026-09-19
  • W 4-0 v Arbroath 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Inverness C 2026-09-05
  • L 0-1 at Dunfermline 2026-08-28

From 399 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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