Livingston vs Ayr prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Livingston to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Livingston 62% at home, a draw 26% and Ayr 12%, so its call is 1: Livingston to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 21% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Livingston and 0.7 for Ayr; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Livingston, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Livingston
Attack 1st of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Raith Rvs 2026-09-25
- D 2-2 v Inverness C 2026-09-19
- W 4-1 at Morton 2026-09-11
- L 0-1 v Stenhousemuir 2026-09-04
- L 0-1 at Arbroath 2026-08-29
Ayr
Attack 6th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Stenhousemuir 2026-09-25
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-09-18
- L 1-3 v Inverness C 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Partick 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Morton 2026-08-29
From 399 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 3 Oct
- Morton vs Raith Rvs · FT 1–2
- Partick vs Arbroath · FT 3–0