Brit Predictor

Tenerife vs Cadiz prediction

Spain Segunda · Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeTenerife 1–1 CadizResult X

Who wins?

TenerifeDrawCadiz
Model 1 ✗
42%29%29%
Market 1 ✗
52%28%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Tenerife to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Tenerife 42% at home, a draw 29% and Cadiz 29%, so its call is 1: Tenerife to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 28% / 20%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tenerife and 0.9 for Cadiz; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams score41%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Tenerife

Attack 21st of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.

LWDLW
  • L 0-5 at Castellon 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Leganes 2026-09-13
  • D 1-1 at Sociedad B 2026-09-05
  • L 0-1 v Sp Gijon 2026-08-28
  • W 1-0 v Almeria 2026-08-23

Cadiz

Attack 18th of 22, defence 17th of 22 in the league.

LLLDD
  • L 1-2 v Girona 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 v Las Palmas 2026-09-12
  • L 2-3 at Almeria 2026-09-06
  • D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-08-30
  • D 2-2 at Eldense 2026-08-22

From 991 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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