Brit Predictor

Ceuta vs Sociedad B prediction

Spain Segunda · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 WAT

Full timeCeuta 3–1 Sociedad BResult 1

Who wins?

CeutaDrawSociedad B
Model 12 ✓
35%25%40%
Market 12 ✓
35%28%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Sociedad B to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Ceuta 35% at home, a draw 25% and Sociedad B 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ceuta and 1.5 for Sociedad B; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score57%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Ceuta

Attack 17th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.

DLLLL
  • D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-09-20
  • L 1-3 at Burgos 2026-09-11
  • L 0-2 v Celta B 2026-09-05
  • L 0-3 at Mallorca 2026-08-30
  • L 0-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-22

Sociedad B

Attack 12th of 22, defence 16th of 22 in the league.

LWDDW
  • L 0-1 v Mallorca 2026-09-19
  • W 3-1 at Andorra 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 v Tenerife 2026-09-05
  • D 2-2 at Burgos 2026-08-31
  • W 2-1 at Albacete 2026-08-22

From 991 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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