Southend vs Barrow prediction
England National League · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southend to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Southend 58% at home, a draw 24% and Barrow 18%, so its call is 1: Southend to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 21% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Southend and 0.9 for Barrow; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Barrow, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Southend
Attack 5th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 6-1 at Gateshead 2026-09-19
- W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 at Carlisle 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Yeovil 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Woking 2026-08-31
Barrow
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Aldershot 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Solihull 2026-09-15
- D 2-2 at Worthing 2026-09-12
- W 3-0 v Sutton 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Kidderminster 2026-08-31
From 1212 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 26 Sep
- Wealdstone vs Gateshead · FT 4–0
- Sutton vs Forest Green · FT 3–3
- Solihull vs Boreham Wood · FT 0–3
- Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool · FT 4–1
- Worthing vs Halifax · FT 2–1
- Harrogate vs Eastleigh · FT 4–1
- Carlisle vs Woking · FT 2–5
- Boston Utd vs Fylde · FT 0–1
- Altrincham vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0
- Aldershot vs Tamworth · FT 5–1
- Kidderminster vs Yeovil · FT 0–1