Brit Predictor

Harrogate vs Eastleigh prediction

England National League · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeHarrogate 4–1 EastleighResult 1

Who wins?

HarrogateDrawEastleigh
Model 1 ✓
59%20%22%
Market 1 ✓
61%22%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Harrogate 59% at home, a draw 20% and Eastleigh 22%, so its call is 1: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Harrogate and 1.4 for Eastleigh; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.3 – 1.4
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams score67%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Harrogate

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LLWWW
  • L 1-4 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 v Fylde 2026-09-15
  • W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 v Gateshead 2026-08-31

Eastleigh

Attack 19th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

WLDLD
  • W 1-0 v Carlisle 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 at Sutton 2026-09-15
  • D 1-1 v Boreham Wood 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 at Altrincham 2026-09-04
  • D 1-1 v Aldershot 2026-08-31

From 1212 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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