Valencia vs Sociedad prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Valencia to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Valencia 43% at home, a draw 26% and Sociedad 31%, so its call is 1: Valencia to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Valencia and 1.2 for Sociedad; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Valencia
Attack 18th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Alaves 2026-09-15
- L 0-1 at Sevilla 2026-09-11
- L 0-5 v Barcelona 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 at La Coruna 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 v Betis 2026-08-25
Sociedad
Attack 9th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Ath Madrid 2026-09-13
- W 3-2 at Elche 2026-09-07
- D 0-0 v Celta 2026-09-03
- W 2-1 v Espanol 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Real Madrid 2026-08-26
From 824 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Getafe vs Malaga · FT 1–0
- Ath Madrid vs Real Madrid · FT 2–1
- Villarreal vs Levante · FT 3–1
- La Coruna vs Betis · FT 1–1