Getafe vs Malaga prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Getafe to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Getafe 45% at home, a draw 34% and Malaga 21%, so its call is 1: Getafe to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 29% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.0 for Getafe and 0.6 for Malaga; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Malaga, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Getafe
Attack 20th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Betis 2026-09-17
- D 1-1 v La Coruna 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 v Celta 2026-09-07
- L 0-1 at Osasuna 2026-08-31
- W 1-0 v Santander 2026-08-23
Malaga
Attack 19th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Villarreal 2026-09-17
- D 1-1 at Celta 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 v Levante 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 at Real Madrid 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 v La Coruna 2026-08-24
From 824 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Ath Madrid vs Real Madrid · FT 2–1
- Villarreal vs Levante · FT 3–1
- La Coruna vs Betis · FT 1–1
- Valencia vs Sociedad · FT 2–3